DOST-PAGASA: ENSO-neutral conditions continue to prevail over the tropical Pacific Ocean. Most climate models combined with expert judgments suggest a 66% chance of La Niña forming in Sept-Oct-Nov (SON) 2024 season and will likely persist until the first quarter (Jan-Feb-Mar) of 2025. With these model probabilities, borderline La Niña or La Niña-like conditions will be likely during the forecast period. (Updated: 28 August 2024)
MS. ANA LIZA S. SOLIS
Chief, Climate Monitoring and Prediction Section (CLIMPS)
Climatology and Agrometeorology Division (CAD), DOST-PAGASA
Trunkline No.: (02)8284-0800 local 4920 and 4921
E-mail: asolis@pagasa.dost.gov.ph